Russian activities during the last few years aimed to control and limit navigation in the Black Sea as well as the Kerch incident of 2018 provide researchers with substantial data to predict possible developments for 2020. In this article, the author analyses the worst-case scenario and proposes a set of preventive actions. In 2020, obstacles…
Interview with Director of the National Institute for Strategic Studies Dr. Volodymyr Horbulin What, In Your Opinion, Do “Frozen” Conflicts in the Post-Soviet Space Have in Common? “Frozen” conflicts in the post-Soviet space have become the consequence of exacerbating ethnic and linguistic tensions with the crucial role of the Russian Federation in it. Russian military…
The analysis will compare the conflicts in the Balkans of the 1990s and the war in Eastern Ukraine: their causes, historical background, political and economic context. It will also demonstrate how the mechanisms for the Balkan conflicts’ resolution may be applied in resolving the conflict in Ukraine. In addition, it will provide recommendations regarding policies…
The weakening of the US global influence in recent years has led to a formation of geopolitical vacuum in various regions of the World, where old and new regional players are rushing to fill their dominance. This led to regional instability, with which the US is already unable to cope. As a result, the international…
Once being annexed by Russia, Crimea with the rest of the Black Sea sub-region immediately broke through the front line of the global post-bipolar geopolitics. The author argues that there is an urgent need to re-estimate the traditional input of the key Black Sea actors. This initial reading suggests Russia, as well as NATO, the…
This article examines the circumstances of the armed attack; the first stage of the military aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine aiming and eventually leading to the occupation and annexation of Crimea in February-March 2014. These events are considered against the background of the role of the Russian Federation Black Sea Fleet deployed on…
Obviously, in the last couple of years the difficulties of making the way through the regional turmoil and facing new challenges brought about a completely new background with the embedded unique opportunities for further deepening of strategic partnership between Ukraine and Turkey. The question is, however, whether the intensification of bilateral cooperation is a temporary phenomenon that will end up…
Interview with Member of Parliament of Ukraine Mustafa Dzhemilev for UA: Ukraine Analytica What, in your opinion, brought about the occupation of the Crimea and allowed Russia to receive support from a part of local population? Russia was preparing for that for a long time. Stating that it has no territorial claims to Ukraine and…
Human rights situation in Crimea has deteriorated dramatically during the two years of peninsula’s illegal annexation by the Russian Federation. Numerous cases of grave violations of fundamental rights and freedoms of ethnic Ukrainians, Crimean Tatars and civil society activists attract the attention of the international community that looks for a way of ensuring respect for…
The paper analyses some aspects of the situation in and around the Crimea after the two years of its occupation and illegal annexation by the Russian Federation. The first part addresses the situation regarding human rights, especially those of the most vulnerable Crimean Tatar indigenous people and ethnic Ukrainians. It also covers some other negative…
