Russian invasion – UA: Ukraine Analytica

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UKRAINE AND A NEW EUROPEAN SECURITY ARCHITECTURE: A REVISIT OF THE REGIONAL SECURITY COMPLEX THEORY

This article applies Buzan and Wæver’s Regional Security Complex (RSC) Theory to the post-2022 transformation of European security. It argues that Russia’s aggression and full-scale invasion sought to eliminate Ukraine’s role as an “insulator state”, fusing the formerly distinct EU-centred and post-Soviet RSCs into a single interdependent super-complex. Its future remains an open securitisation contest:…

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THE UKRAINE EFFECT: SECURITY GUARANTEES AND THE RISE OF MINILATERALISM IN EUROPE’S NEW SECURITY ARCHITECTURE

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has turned out to be a defining moment for European security, exposing both the strengths and limitations of existing security arrangements. Beyond its immediate military and geopolitical consequences, the war has reignited debates over the credibility of security guarantees and has accelerated the search for alternative forms of security cooperation….

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ENLARGEMENT UNDER FIRE: HOW UKRAINE’S CANDIDACY IS REWIRING EU INTEGRATION AND INTERNAL REFORM

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has turned European Union enlargement from a slow technocratic process into a central instrument of European security. This article argues that Ukraine’s candidacy is pushing the union beyond the classic linear accession model towards a staged integration process, in which security cooperation, sectoral economic access, reconstruction support and governance conditionality…

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PERFECT STORM FOR UKRAINIAN FOREIGN STRATEGY

Even though the full-scale invasion of Russia in 2022 has changed the global and European geopolitical landscape, there have already been signs of so-called ‘war fatigue’ or getting back to business as usual. However, Ukraine’s perception of the world and its role within it has irrevocably changed. This article explores the transformation of Ukraine’s role…

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PEACE FORMULA AND LESSONS LEARNED FROM THE BALKANS AND NAGORNO-KARABAKH

The full-scale invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation opened a new, dangerous era in international relations. Russia’s aggression opened a Pandora’s box and created a dangerous precedent for many other sleeping conflicts globally, including those in the Middle East and Asia. Therefore, new approaches to peacekeeping need to be developed, based on previous experience…

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LIBERATION & REINTEGRATION OF CRIMEA: WHEN AND HOW

The paper addresses the situation on the temporarily occupied Crimean Peninsula and the changes brought about by two years of the full-scale Russian-Ukrainian war. The achievements of Ukraine’s Armed Forces in the Black Sea, where they have seriously damaged a third of the warships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, are emphasised. The prospects for…

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NATO AFTER THE MADRID AND VILNIUS SUMMITS

This article seeks to dissect the contemporary developments surrounding the concept of ‘strategic competition’ by examining the outcomes of two successive NATO summits in Madrid and Vilnius. During these summits, the Allies not only exhibited a unified front in their support for Ukraine and condemnation of Russia but also reaffirmed their commitment to honour mutual…

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DIGITAL INTEGRATION OF UKRAINE TO THE EU

With the full-scale Russian invasion, Ukraine has made digital transformation and technologies one of the pillars of its resilience and strength. Digital integration is an area where Ukraine has already achieved significant progress. Ukraine’s practical experience of introducing digital technologies is highly valued by the EU, while Ukraine follows the implementation of the European regulations…

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RUSSIA’S DISINFORMATION GOES NUCLEAR

Prior to the escalated invasion of Ukraine, the political and military leadership of the Russian Federation alleged that Ukraine was planning to regain its nuclear status, and that it would be receiving the help of Western countries. This claim was repeated on May 9, 2022, almost three months following the 24 February incursion, during the…

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UKRAINIAN NUCLEAR PLANTS IN THE FOCUS OF RUSSIAN INFORMATION WARFARE

At the first stage of the full-scale invasion in February 2022, Ukraine’s nuclear energy facilities were among the main targets of the Kremlin. The Russians managed to seize Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) and Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant (ChNPP). After a series of military defeats, Russia has been trying to “sell” their control over the…

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