Ukraine – UA: Ukraine Analytica

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UKRAINE AND A NEW EUROPEAN SECURITY ARCHITECTURE: A REVISIT OF THE REGIONAL SECURITY COMPLEX THEORY

This article applies Buzan and Wæver’s Regional Security Complex (RSC) Theory to the post-2022 transformation of European security. It argues that Russia’s aggression and full-scale invasion sought to eliminate Ukraine’s role as an “insulator state”, fusing the formerly distinct EU-centred and post-Soviet RSCs into a single interdependent super-complex. Its future remains an open securitisation contest:…

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UKRAINE’S EU ACCESSION IN
WARTIME: PHASED INTEGRATION,
SECURITY IMPLICATIONS,
AND EU READINESS

Russia’s full-scale invasion has turned Ukraine’s EU accession into a test case for enlargement under wartime conditions. This article argues that Ukraine is shifting its accession towards a gradual model, in which sectoral integration ― including in security and defence ― advances alongside reforms rather than following full stabilisation. It shows how instruments such as…

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THE IMPERFECT ACCESSION: ROMANIA
AND BULGARIA AS PRECEDENTS
FOR UKRAINE’S EARLY ENTRY

The accession of Romania and Bulgaria to the EU in 2007 was driven by geopolitical priorities that took precedence over a strictly merit-based process. In a similar vein, Ukraine and Moldova were granted candidate status in 2022 amidst the ongoing Russian aggression, a threat which made the euro-integration process less predictable. This situation highlights the…

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ENLARGEMENT UNDER FIRE: HOW UKRAINE’S CANDIDACY IS REWIRING EU INTEGRATION AND INTERNAL REFORM

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has turned European Union enlargement from a slow technocratic process into a central instrument of European security. This article argues that Ukraine’s candidacy is pushing the union beyond the classic linear accession model towards a staged integration process, in which security cooperation, sectoral economic access, reconstruction support and governance conditionality…

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«TRUMP CARDS» OF DEMOCRACY: WINNING THE GAME AGAINST AUTOCRACY

Global politics is entering a new era, Global Competition 2.0, where old and new players redefine their strategies. While realpolitik remains a dominant paradigm, a new approach, game policy, is emerging as a counterweight to authoritarian offensives. Unlike traditional power struggles, game policy is a great simulation — an adaptive strategy that blends disinformation, hybrid…

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NAVIGATING NEOREACTION IN GLOBAL POWER COMPETITION

A defining feature of the second Trump administration has been its quiet embrace of concepts related to «Neoreaction» — an ideology popular within Silicon Valley that argues against democratic governance and egalitarian thought, pushes for consolidating power, and embraces isolationism. This article will examine what Neoreactionary thought is, and how this concept may influence decision…

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NAVIGATING IN-BETWEEN GREAT POWER RIVALRY: HOW CAN UKRAINE SURVIVE AND THRIVE IN THE NEW GLOBAL ORDER?

The global order, as we have known it since the aftermath of World War II, is coming to an end. Trump’s second term as US President and his ‘America First’ policy; the emboldenment of revisionist powers such as China, Russia, Iran, and to a certain extent India,ly increasingly willing to challenge the US hegemonic role…

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THE FUTURE OF UKRAINE IN THE ERA OF RISING GLOBAL POWERS: STRATEGIES FOR SURVIVAL AND SUCCESS

As new global powers emerge and traditional powers recalibrate, Ukraine’s position on the world stage is increasingly complex. How are the shifting global power structures influencing Ukraine’s strategic options? What role can Ukraine play in the evolving global order, and how can it leverage its strengths to safeguard its sovereignty and economic development? This paper…

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PERFECT STORM FOR UKRAINIAN FOREIGN STRATEGY

Even though the full-scale invasion of Russia in 2022 has changed the global and European geopolitical landscape, there have already been signs of so-called ‘war fatigue’ or getting back to business as usual. However, Ukraine’s perception of the world and its role within it has irrevocably changed. This article explores the transformation of Ukraine’s role…

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FORGING PEACE: IMPERATIVES FOR UKRAINE’S POST-WAR JUSTICE

In the wake of any conflict, the pursuit of peace extends far beyond the cessation of hostilities. For Ukraine, the journey towards peace necessitates a multifaceted approach in which justice plays an indispensable role. This article reviews the essential role of justice in conflict settlement and post-conflict arrangements, examining its intersection with reconciliation and sustainable…

Tagged Ukraine