Ukraine Analytica 30,2023


Prior to the escalated invasion of Ukraine, the political and military leadership of the Russian Federation alleged that Ukraine was planning to regain its nuclear status, and that it would be receiving the help of Western countries. This claim was repeated on May 9, 2022, almost three months following the 24 February incursion, during the closely watched Victory Day speech by Russia’s President Vladimir Putin. He declared that Russia could not tolerate Ukraine becoming a nuclear state in its “near abroad”, and was forced to take steps to prevent it. These false accusations have been repeatedly refuted by Ukraine, the US, and other Western nations; nevertheless, Moscow continues to disseminate them to Russian and international audiences. Essentially, this should be regarded as one of numerous forms of Russian disinformation that are designed to justify its unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, and to maintain domestic and international support for an illegal military operation that has been floundering.

Dr Polina Sinovets,
Odesa Center for Nonproliferation (OdCNP),
Dr Khrystyna Holynska
Pardee RAND Graduate School
John V. Parachini
RAND Corporation

Dr. Polina Sinovets works as the Associate Professor at the Department of International Relations, Institute of Social Sciences, Odessa National I.I. Mechnikov University. Since 2015 Dr. Sinovets heads Odessa Center for Nonproliferation. A member of PONARS Eurasia. Main fields of research interest: nuclear nonproliferation and regional challenges, deterrence, nuclear history of states upon which Dr. Sinovets has published over 50 articles. An author of the monographs: “Double-Faced Yanus or Nuclear Deterrence Theory in the 21st century” and “Deterrence and the Nuclear Superpowers After the Cold War”. Graduate of “The Study of the CNS NIS Visiting Fellowship Program of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute for International Studies (2006), “US Institute on National Security Policymaking” program, sponsored by the US State department (2012) as well as NATO Defense College Fellowship (2015).

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