After the 2019 elections, the balance of power inside the European Parliament has changed. Programmes of political groups and the number of seats they have won can help us predict the position of the legislature on questions important for Ukraine. The study shows that Ukraine will have strong support on the status of Crimea, sanctions regime, Russian aggression in the east and in the Azov Sea. On the contrary, Ukraine will not be able to secure support on Nord Stream 2 and should be ready for cooperation between the EU and Russia. Also, Ukraine can face criticism from the EU on minority rights protection and insufficient efforts against corruption.


Yar Batoh is the director of KSE StratBase and a research assistant at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. His main research interests are security studies, Russian foreign policy, and Ukrainian-Russian relations. Previously, he worked at VoxUkraine. Yar Batoh graduated from the Institute of International Relations, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv.

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